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Elections

1710 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen47%
Jordan Bardella1%
6 more
$801.0K Vol.•Apr 19, 2027

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%
$730.6K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Gavin Newsom9%
6 more
$659.1K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
D Senate, R House1%
3 more
$545.8K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

Hormuz Agreement; R Senate3%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate3%
1 more
$468.7K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
6 more
$338.3K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump2%
J.D. Vance49%
6 more
$325.4K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett17%
6 more
$324.0K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+2%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%9%
6 more
$310.8K Vol.•Oct 26, 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

HHormuz Agreement; R Senate1%
HHormuz Agreement; D Senate2%
1 more
$224.3K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

OOil < $80; R Senate5%
OOil < $80; D Senate5%
2 more
$175.2K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud39%
Together1%
4 more
$134.9K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%
$116.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%
$100.5K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Sen. Dan Sullivan26%
Ann Diener0%
5 more
$98.9K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

MS-01 House Election Winner

TTrent Kelly (R)96%
CCliff Johnson (D)4%
$85.4K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

CA-28 House Election Winner

AApril Verlato (R)2%
JJudy Chu (D)97%
$83.7K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Elections

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%
$74.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

WV-02 House Election Winner

RRiley Moore (R)97%
AAce Parsi (D)3%
$71.6K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

NC-04 House Election Winner

MMax Ganorkar (R)3%
VValerie Foushee (D)97%
$67.5K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

OK-03 House Election Winner

FFrank Lucas (R)96%
SSuzie Byrd (D)1%
$61.7K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Mugur Isărescu0%
Mircea Geoană0%
6 more
$59.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

WV-01 House Election Winner

CCarol Miller (R)98%
VVince George (D)2%
$51.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

NC-12 House Election Winner

JJack Codiga (R)2%
AAlma Adams (D)97%
$49.2K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe92%
Alex Lawson5%
3 more
$47.8K Vol.•Oct 27, 2026
Elections

Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?

6%
$47.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

VA-03 House Election Winner

EEdwin Rivera (R)3%
BBobby Scott (D)95%
$46.7K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

VA-06 House Election Winner

BBen Cline (R)94%
BBeth Macy (D)7%
$46.0K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

VA-09 House Election Winner

MMorgan Griffith (R)97%
JJoy Powers (D)2%
$44.9K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

OOil < $85; R Senate8%
OOil < $85; D Senate12%
2 more
$44.6K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

ND-AL House Election Winner

JJulie Fedorchak (R)96%
TTrygve Hammer (D)3%
$44.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

MA-01 House Election Winner

RRepublican Party3%
RRichard Neal (D)96%
$43.5K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Ko Chih-en24%
Lai Jui-lung76%
4 more
$43.5K Vol.•Nov 29, 2026

OH-05 House Election Winner

BBob Latta (R)93%
BBrian Shaver (D)7%
$43.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

FL-26 House Election Winner

MMario Díaz-Balart (R)89%
NNicole Locklin (D)11%
$43.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

CA-08 House Election Winner

RRudy Recile (R)3%
JJohn Garamendi (D)97%
$42.8K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

LA-06 House Election Winner

RRepublican Party93%
DDemocratic Party6%
$42.6K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?

000%
110%
2 more
$42.1K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

BBolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps19%
BBolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems37%
6 more
$41.9K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

MO-04 House Election Winner

MMark Alford (R)96%
JJordan Herrera (D)3%
$40.4K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

WA-09 House Election Winner

DDoug Basler (R)2%
AAdam Smith (D)97%
$39.7K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

NJ-08 House Election Winner

RRepublican Party2%
RRob Menendez (D)96%
$39.4K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

MA-02 House Election Winner

RRepublican Party4%
JJim McGovern (D)96%
$39.3K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

DE-AL House Election Winner

RRepublican Party0%
DDemocratic Party98%
$39.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an63%
Puma Shen38%
1 more
$39.0K Vol.•Nov 29, 2026

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

PAN75%
PRI17%
4 more
$39.0K Vol.•Jun 7, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro77%
Lula24%
$38.4K Vol.•Oct 26, 2026

NJ-10 House Election Winner

CCarmen Bucco (R)1%
LLaMonica McIver (D)99%
$37.9K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026