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Economy

199 markets

Fed Decision in October?

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease0%
3 more
$2.9M Vol.•Oct 29, 2026
Economy

Fed rate hike in 2026?

99%
$338.4K Vol.•Ends Dec 9, 2026

Fed rate hike by...?

September Meeting100%
October Meeting50%
$305.4K Vol.•Oct 29, 2026

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA66%
Microsoft0%
6 more
$237.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Fed Decision in December?

50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease1%
3 more
$114.7K Vol.•Dec 10, 2026
Business

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

3%
$94.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Business

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

7%
$92.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Economy

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

13%
$88.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)97%
1 (25 bps)1%
6 more
$75.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Business

SEC removes quarterly reporting requirement?

17%
$52.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Business

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%
$48.3K Vol.•Ends Dec 10, 2026

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Pause–Pause–Pause0%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
3 more
$43.0K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026
Economy

OPEC dissolves in 2026?

2%
$42.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Largest Company end of October 2026?

Alphabet0%
Tesla0%
6 more
$40.6K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026
Economy

ECB rate cut in 2026?

4%
$36.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

BBelow 4.60%3%
BBelow 4.80%4%
6 more
$32.5K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Business

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

12%
$30.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

5.5%21%
5.7%13%
2 more
$30.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Economy

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

2%
$30.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

11 (25 bps)13%
22 (50 bps)70%
3 more
$26.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Fed Decision in January?

50+ bps decrease1%
25 bps decrease2%
3 more
$26.2K Vol.•Jan 28, 2027

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike62%
Hike–Pause–Pause12%
3 more
$24.2K Vol.•Dec 9, 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

50+ bps decrease0%
25 bps decrease0%
3 more
$23.4K Vol.•Oct 30, 2026

Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9%6%
2.0-2.4%85%
4 more
$20.4K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
Economy

Will Argentina dollarize by...?

3%
$19.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Economy

US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?

3%
$19.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

2%
$18.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Economy

Will France pass a national budget by December 31?

53%
$18.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Business

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

8%
$17.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

<500B3%
500–600B5%
6 more
$16.9K Vol.•May 1, 2027

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

BBelow 4.00%4%
BBelow 4.10%3%
6 more
$15.6K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 3.5%1%
Below 3.0%1%
6 more
$15.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA22%
Microsoft0%
6 more
$14.1K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026
Economy

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

10%
$13.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Trump vetoes Russia sanctions bill?

0%
$12.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA38%
Microsoft4%
6 more
$12.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

What will be the next Fed rate change?

HHike100%
CCut0%
$12.6K Vol.•Dec 31, 2028
Economy

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

12%
$12.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

55.10%66%
55.25%21%
$11.7K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026
Economy

USMCA extended in 2026?

9%
$11.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1.2m56%
1.3m14%
4 more
$11.4K Vol.•Mar 1, 2027

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

55.70%47%
55.80%25%
2 more
$10.7K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Fed rate cut by...?

January 2027 Meeting4%
March 2027 Meeting16%
5 more
$10.2K Vol.•Jan 29, 2028

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Hike-Pause-Hike3%
Hike-Pause-Pause3%
6 more
$9.7K Vol.•Jan 27, 2027
Economy

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%
$9.7K Vol.•Ends Feb 16, 2027

PPI YoY - September 2026

≤5.0%0%
5.1%0%
6 more
$9.5K Vol.•Oct 16, 2026
Economy

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?

8%
$8.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

550+ bps decrease0%
225 bps decrease0%
3 more
$8.9K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026