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504 markets

World

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%
$2.6M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US x Russia military clash by...?

3%
$1.1M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

2%
$862.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 30, 202650%
December 31, 202650%
2 more
$757.6K Vol.•Jun 23, 2027

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett16%
6 more
$590.2K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

OOctober 3180%
NNovember 3042%
6 more
$552.5K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
World

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%
$544.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Russia capture Sumy by...?

5%
$449.2K Vol.•Ends Apr 1, 2027
World

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

5%
$448.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

Hormuz Agreement; R Senate4%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate3%
1 more
$406.0K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3137%
October 318%
3 more
$371.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%
$355.2K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

3%
$337.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

September 23100%
September 25100%
1 more
$335.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

India strike on Pakistan by...?

10%
$333.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 3184%
December 3149%
5 more
$329.1K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

September 30100%
October 31100%
3 more
$323.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

5%
$295.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

HHormuz Agreement; R Senate2%
HHormuz Agreement; D Senate2%
1 more
$288.0K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
World

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

6%
$273.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%
$255.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

1%
$255.2K Vol.•Ends Nov 1, 2026
World

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%
$248.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 311%
June 30, 20279%
$225.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
World

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%
$215.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

3%
$198.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

7%
$198.1K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
World

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$195.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%
$191.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

4%
$191.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%
$186.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

3%
$180.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

2%
$177.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

5%
$176.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Donald Trump50%
Pope Leo XIV0%
6 more
$176.7K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
World

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%
$167.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

5%
$163.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

3%
$161.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

4%
$157.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

4%
$155.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 20266%
December 31, 202720%
$153.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

OOil < $80; R Senate5%
OOil < $80; D Senate6%
2 more
$152.5K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
World

Will Wildberries announce a bankruptcy before 2027?

7%
$148.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by...?

5%
$129.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?

4%
$125.7K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

10%
$125.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

3%
$124.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

5%
$121.8K Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026