Categories

All marketsTrending74Politics2485Sports2065Crypto1020Up or Down655Finance486Geopolitics507Earnings31Tech426Culture489Weather370AI352Elections1709Economy198World982Business214Science97

Workspace

Profile
PolymarxPolymarx
About usTerms of UseAML / KYCPrivacy PolicyLicenses
MarketsActivity

AI

352 markets

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

September 3050%
October 31100%
6 more
$915.8K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

OpenAI resumes US ChatGPT Pro 20x signups by...?

September 30, 2026100%
October 31, 2026100%
$306.1K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

October 3150%
November 30100%
5 more
$244.0K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$3.0T18%
↑$2.5T32%
6 more
$197.1K Vol.•Jan 5, 2027

GPT-6 released by…?

September 15, 2026100%
October 31, 202650%
2 more
$137.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic28%
Meta0%
6 more
$112.4K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
AI

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

4%
$107.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

<$1.25T4%
$1.25–$1.5T7%
6 more
$100.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31100%
September 30100%
$85.4K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Business

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

11%
$83.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Alibaba14%
DJI11%
6 more
$68.1K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

660%+38%
665%+17%
2 more
$66.1K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Next Claude Opus Model: Text Arena Debut?

1500+100%
1505+100%
3 more
$58.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 13100%
October 1450%
6 more
$57.8K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

Which week will OpenAI release Astra?

August 31–September 6100%
September 7–130%
6 more
$54.5K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+0%
1490+0%
3 more
$54.3K Vol.•-

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

October 3187%
December 3199%
6 more
$51.2K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

October 12100%
October 210%
$46.8K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
World

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

6%
$43.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by...?

OOctober 1550%
OOctober 3150%
$41.7K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by...?

October 31100%
September 30100%
5 more
$41.2K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026
AI

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%
$40.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Gemini Argon released by...?

October 31100%
November 30100%
2 more
$40.1K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer18%
Hodge Conjecture32%
4 more
$36.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Business

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

1%
$32.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic lab leak by...?

DDecember 31, 20262%
JJune 30, 20277%
$31.5K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Next Sonnet Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+1%
1480+1%
3 more
$30.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Business

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%
$30.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI89%
Reve0%
6 more
$29.0K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google76%
ByteDance14%
6 more
$28.1K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
AI

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

9%
$27.2K Vol.•Ends Nov 1, 2026

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

UUp90%
DDown11%
$26.0K Vol.•Jul 1, 2027

Next Claude Sonnet released by...?

OOctober 31100%
DDecember 31100%
4 more
$24.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Next Mythos-Class Model: Text Arena Debut?

1470+100%
1480+100%
3 more
$24.0K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

1450+0%
1460+0%
2 more
$23.6K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

Next Grok Model (4.7+): Text Arena Debut?

1450+0%
1460+0%
4 more
$20.6K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Russia10%
China10%
6 more
$19.8K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+98%
1460+1%
2 more
$19.4K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI87%
SpaceXAI0%
6 more
$19.1K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Muse Flame0%
Muse Blaze1%
5 more
$17.8K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google40%
Anthropic46%
6 more
$17.8K Vol.•Dec 31, 2026

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+100%
45%+100%
1 more
$16.7K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 162%
October 171%
6 more
$15.9K Vol.•Nov 1, 2026

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+100%
1490+99%
3 more
$15.8K Vol.•Jun 30, 2027

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+100%
50%+100%
2 more
$15.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by...?

October 31100%
September 30100%
5 more
$14.9K Vol.•Dec 1, 2026

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high80%
claude-opus-5.5-high0%
2 more
$14.5K Vol.•Oct 20, 2026

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic91%
Meta1%
6 more
$14.2K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026