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Politics

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

3%
$2.8M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

DDecember 31, 20262%
JJune 30, 202710%
2 more
$2.1M Vol.•Jan 1, 2029
Crypto

$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?

50%
$1.7M Vol.•Ends Dec 31, 2026
Geopolitics

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%
$1.3M Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%
Flávio Bolsonaro80%
$1.2M Vol.•Oct 26, 2026

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

280-2993%
260-2790%
6 more
$1.0M Vol.•Oct 16, 2026

Trump renames AI by...?

September 3050%
December 31100%
1 more
$977.7K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

2%
$862.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Gavin Newsom9%
6 more
$798.9K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

September 30, 202650%
December 31, 202650%
2 more
$757.6K Vol.•Jun 23, 2027

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%
$640.5K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu28%
Naftali Bennett16%
6 more
$587.2K Vol.•Oct 28, 2026
World

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

5%
$563.0K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

OOctober 3180%
NNovember 3042%
6 more
$552.4K Vol.•Oct 31, 2026
Geopolitics

US military draft authorized in 2026?

4%
$544.3K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Crypto

SBF released from custody in 2026?

2%
$468.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen46%
Jordan Bardella1%
6 more
$460.5K Vol.•Apr 19, 2027
Geopolitics

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

3%
$449.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Venezuela become 51st state?

2%
$397.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
D Senate, R House1%
3 more
$371.8K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3137%
October 318%
3 more
$365.6K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom15%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
6 more
$349.0K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028
Politics

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

5%
$342.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

3%
$337.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Trump x Greenland deal signed by...?

September 23100%
September 25100%
1 more
$335.2K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

India strike on Pakistan by...?

10%
$333.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

September 30100%
October 31100%
3 more
$323.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Donald Trump2%
J.D. Vance49%
6 more
$312.2K Vol.•Nov 8, 2028

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

Hormuz Agreement; R Senate5%
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate5%
1 more
$312.1K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

HHormuz Agreement; R Senate2%
HHormuz Agreement; D Senate2%
1 more
$296.3K Vol.•Nov 4, 2026
Geopolitics

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

5%
$295.5K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

December 31, 20267%
March 31, 202718%
$275.4K Vol.•Apr 1, 2027
Geopolitics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

5%
$273.6K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026?

2%
$255.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%
$248.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+3%
Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12%9%
6 more
$226.8K Vol.•Oct 26, 2026

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 311%
June 30, 20279%
$225.5K Vol.•Jan 1, 2027
Politics

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

3%
$223.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

120-1390%
140-1590%
6 more
$215.4K Vol.•Oct 20, 2026
Geopolitics

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%
$215.2K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027

Will $LAPTOP flip $TRUMP by ___?

December 31, 2026100%
June 30, 2027100%
1 more
$213.9K Vol.•Jan 1, 2028
Science

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

5%
$200.1K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

3%
$198.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%
$195.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%
$191.9K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

4%
$191.8K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
Geopolitics

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%
$186.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027
World

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

5%
$182.4K Vol.•Ends Jan 1, 2027