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Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

Science

Eventcmv2vxo800t3spb01j8l477wa
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a confirmed case of pneumonic plague in a human is reported in the Russian Federation at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Moscow time, . Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "confirmed case" is a case explicitly identified by a qualifying source as laboratory-confirmed Yersinia pestis infection with pneumonic (pulmonary) involvement, or explicitly announced as a confirmed pneumonic plague case. Publication of the underlying laboratory results is not required. A bubonic or septicemic case that progresses to pneumonic plague qualifies. A case reported only as "plague" with no form specified, and a case described only as suspected or probable, do not qualify. The case must be distinct from the Irkutsk Anti-Plague Research Institute employee who reportedly passed away on October 1, 2026; subsequent confirmation, reclassification, or post-mortem testing of that patient will not qualify. Resolution turns on the date a qualifying source publishes the confirmation, not the date of exposure, symptom onset, or laboratory result. A report published after the deadline does not count even if the infection occurred earlier. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Russian federal or regional public health authorities and the WHO; however a consensus of credible sources will also suffice.

24H VOLUME

$2.4K

LIQUIDITY

$2.4K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (12)

STONKS228 Oct 13

"There is no plague mr. Trump"

Relaccsed Oct 9

Well well well

Relaccsed Oct 9

Not gonna happen dawg

ArthurGreen Oct 8

I think watching for Ebola in Congo is more important tbh

ACXAbTamaeB Oct 7

Они никогда не подтвердят это лол

Relaccsed Oct 7

Yeah, no..

oleg55 Oct 7

JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇷🇺 US Embassy urges all Americans in Russia to leave the country immediately following suspected pneumonic plague outbreak.

STONKS228 Oct 7

"There is no plague mr. Trump"

oleg55 Oct 7

JUST IN: 🇷🇺🇺🇸 Russian President Putin to hold call with US President Trump to discuss the plague. SCENARIO IS PLAYING OUT

STONKS228 Oct 7

psyop

bernardbulletin Oct 6

hola

jesusmuniz Oct 5

mas el dicrim los guaricanso debe cuplir con la ley de ars humni poder jdicoa con plaza lama mella mas la induveca debbe 450 mil con miguel rivera el que perdio debe pagar ley poder judicol domicano