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GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Business

Eventcmtn7o3sc0gcktd01fkzh1mbe
Closes in

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

24H VOLUME

$4.6K

LIQUIDITY

$4.6K

BALANCE

$0

Resolves according to the official outcome source for this event.

Comments (22)

Contentious-Dinnerdate 20h ago

you have an imposter

chessplayer Oct 14

Did you?

issaisking Oct 14

did you hear the news?

issaisking Oct 13

ez money

Rainless Oct 13

you was right bro

chessplayer Oct 13

Yes, but do you think 90% justifies? They are developing other models in paralel...

Contentious-Dinnerdate Oct 13

they have over two and a half months

chessplayer Oct 13

I may be wrong, but i think at least 50-50 it would be. keeping humble

chessplayer Oct 13

I'm not assuming they'll drop the Astra name. The issue is timing. The planned 6.1 release was canceled over safety concerns, not just delayed. A replacement needs to pass evaluations and launch publicly. no evidence justifies a 91% probability of that happening imo

Contentious-Dinnerdate Oct 13

why assume they'll drop the Astra name

chessplayer Oct 13

they are developing oher model

issaisking Oct 13

yeah right openai is gonna let everybody party and sit this one out.... prepare to go to school

chessplayer Oct 13

training cancelled. no astra in 2026. just check on google

issaisking Oct 12

ready?

chessplayer Oct 10

💀

issaisking Oct 6

ez money lads

Waterfall Oct 4

6.1 sol ultrafast, he made the precision later

wildboar08 Oct 4

tibo has announced it's coming soon folks...

Rainless Oct 3

🤣

m.herrera Oct 2

Anthropic releasing Opus 5.5, surely made that OpenAI accelerate the process to release 6.1 Astra

AsianRock Oct 2

wassup

0x0F295cF8854fec13c2Be6e9Be73EaB5C3e36A39e-1776452603779 Sep 30

ss

October 31

Potential payout$80.65