This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Lyman, Donetsk Oblast, (48.990595° N, 37.805666° E) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Lyman will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The boundaries of the municipality are those shown under the “Ukrainian Settlements” layer on the ISW map. If all area within the municipality is shaded under a qualifying layer, however, the shading does not precisely match up with the border such that there is a tiny amount of unshaded area along the border of the municipality, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
24H VOLUME
$241
LIQUIDITY
$241
BALANCE
$0
Comments (18)
machloop1 Oct 6
Fuck ruzzia haha, you will lose more don't worry. and little putin will also knock on your door. ruzzia is a joke. good in terror and a joke on the frontlines. May more of you come. social scum
Biomaster Sep 30
Lol 😂 betting on Russia capturing anything keep loosing , you made my day 😂
pink.impala Sep 28
Get a job already you freeloading ukros!!
pink.impala Sep 28
Fuck ukraine why should i have to pay for these corrupt scum
10to5 Jul 13
I don't bet as a way to manifest wishful thinking. I do mind when dishonesty is baked into the process though Between you and me. it is only about being right and making the right calls. Don't you agree?
djolence353 Jul 13
On what are you? haha
cidesui77 Jul 5
Cry more, vatnik 😄😄

CondeDeBelloch Jun 29
Lyman is never going to fall. Crimea collapse looks closer, and even that, will take at least a year.
10to5 Jun 22
That could explain why even as Lyman has pretty much entirely collapsed and for sure it's done, the odds haven't budged.
HopeDisLasts Jun 22
With Pokrovsk they have hid it for half a year ;)
10to5 Jun 18
As of 18/6 Lyman is reported as 80% captured by RFF. Question is how long can ISW hide the truth. They are heavily biased in favor of UA

libanorix Apr 19
As Prof. Bonk wisely said: "After a wild Saturday night near Lyman 🇺🇦, the triple penetration 🇷🇺 got deeper.🙈" [link removed]

libanorix Apr 19
[link removed]
jasonisanidiot Apr 8
can a yes holder please walk me through their rationale because no is literally free money rn. 50% is horrible yes odds
jasonisanidiot Apr 3
[link removed]
UshatPomoev Feb 25
ez money
UshatPomoev Feb 25
ez money betting on December
0x2802FCA93C27887e7AB1f0e9B33a38a74B8DBF22-1768946697388 Feb 22
аоо




